Polymarket Trader

dataaroom

0x9456f0fa32022ffdf2baa09f44b276267b784f9f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.36K
Realized PnL: $2.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $121.1
Potential payout: $6.21K
Potential profit: $6.09K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $260.6
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $2.59K
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: $97.84

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.71K
Potential profit: $2.71K
User PnL: -$80.05

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $76.25
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $49.73

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $14.99
Potential payout: $810
Potential profit: $795.02
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $740.33
Potential profit: $740.33
User PnL: -$74.5

Yes position

Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699.99
Potential profit: $699.99
User PnL: -$40.6

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $83.1
Potential payout: $599.98
Potential profit: $516.88
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$11.7

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $28.36
Potential payout: $530
Potential profit: $501.65
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $520
Potential profit: $520
User PnL: -$16.12

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $312.35
Potential payout: $317.75
Potential profit: $5.4
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $40.91

Yes position

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$21

No position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $30.75
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $269.24
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$90.25

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $241.27
Potential payout: $296.08
Potential profit: $54.8
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $91.27

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $249.99
User PnL: -$56.95

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $246.98
Potential profit: $246.98
User PnL: -$69.95

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$13.05

Yes position

Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $90
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $110
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$50

Morocco position

Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $102.5
Potential payout: $161.43
Potential profit: $58.92
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.06
Potential profit: $117.06
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$84.7

Under position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.56
Potential profit: $102.56
User PnL: -$40

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.27

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to 117k on August 16?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.53

No position

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.55

No position

Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.03

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.26

No position

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.49

No position

Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.77

No position

Will Bitcoin reach 118k on August 16?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108

Yes position

Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.14

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

No position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.09

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.69

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $54.42

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $117K September 8–14?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.97

Rockets position

Raptors vs. Rockets

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.79

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.65

Yes position

Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.5

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

No position

Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.23

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $33.9

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 85% 117.65 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 20% 50 shares
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

Morocco 61.9% 161.43 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 85% 117.65 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 83% 120.48 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 42% 71.43 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 51% 196.08 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 17% 20 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 90% 111.11 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 88% 113.64 shares
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Under 39% 102.56 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

No 34% 10 shares