Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $70.56
- Potential payout
- $70.56
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.56
Polymarket Trader
vnvn
0x94573bac9fc4517574b62c1d4d67759b660e22a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $222.14
- Realized PnL
- $4.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40.12
- Potential payout
- $40.12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $35.14
- Potential payout
- $35.14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $20.99
- Potential payout
- $21.98
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $20.11
- Potential payout
- $20.14
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.04
- Potential payout
- $20.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.16
- Potential payout
- $10.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Fed rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Trump out as President by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Lisa Cook vote at the next FOMC meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
2024 November hottest on record?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
10+ monkeypox cases in US in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Meta (META) close above $860 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $300 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $290 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
GPT-5 released in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Monkeypox lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Mar 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Jan 24-31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes 99.2% 70.56 shares
- Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?Yes 98.4% 10.16 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 97.9% 5.11 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.3% 20.14 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No 91% 21.98 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on June 10?No 99.8% 20.04 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No 99.6% 35.14 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No 99.7% 40.12 shares
- Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?No 99.7% 19.73 shares
- Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?No 99.9% 20.02 shares
- Will Grok be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?No 99.9% 20.02 shares
- Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $290 end of February?No 99.6% 20.08 shares