0x94605bfbF6402A46d28799E6047Fa99F22aAc8a8-1781670882109

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $4.41
Potential payout: $801.34
Potential profit: $796.93
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $734.41
Potential profit: $734.41
User PnL: -$9.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $561.67
Potential profit: $561.67
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.42
Potential payout: $488.89
Potential profit: $485.47
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $13.17
Potential payout: $317.37
Potential profit: $304.2
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $4.61
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $258.55
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $233.51
Potential profit: $230.59
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $191.83
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.52

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $5.57
Potential payout: $182.69
Potential profit: $177.12
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $4.47
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $127.11
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Uzbekistan?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.25
Potential profit: $96.25
User PnL: -$7.7

Yes position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Neither team to score first?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.39
Potential profit: $95.39
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $86.53
Potential profit: $86.48
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.72
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.72

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 England?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $79.17
Potential profit: $74.81
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Uzbekistan?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.17
Potential profit: $79.17
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $4.64
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $66.79
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $4.64
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $66.79
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $57.81
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $3.48
Potential payout: $58.44
Potential profit: $54.96
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 England?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $5.92
Potential payout: $56.36
Potential profit: $50.45
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.46

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.45

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.22

Yes position

Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.25

Yes position

Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.17

Yes position

Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $17.86

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.19

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.63

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.14

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $12.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.03

Yes position

Canada vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.92

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59

Egypt position

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.37

Mexico position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48

Yes position

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $2.03

Over position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Over position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

Over position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Portugal to score first vs. DR Congo?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Over position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5 Total Corners

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Over position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 0.5