Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $339.5
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$60.5
Polymarket Trader
GokuR
0x946a6345ecd5c624a48b1f087f177fc6bc6c343a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $427.67
- Realized PnL
- $756.04
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $77.94
- Potential payout
- $820.43
- Potential profit
- $742.49
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$72.06
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $10.23
- Potential payout
- $75.76
- Potential profit
- $65.54
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$14.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $679.2
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.27
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.17
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.35
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.43
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.06
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $7.1
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.67
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.28
Yes position
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.29
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.24x
- User PnL
- -$3.53
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.34
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.47
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.12
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$21.16
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$27.87
Yes position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 33% 75.76 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 20% 117.64 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 34% 117.65 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 25% 1,200 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 24% 416.67 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 8% 1,250 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 8.5% 1,653.55 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 8% 1,250 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Yes 25% 400 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 6% 565.36 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Yes 25% 400 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 28% 344.82 shares