No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.53
- Potential profit
- $139.53
- User PnL
- -$120
Polymarket Trader
fghnfdghn
@ArzumSatlm2
0x947063567bf733644c8ebc1f88e285c34283230b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.2
- Realized PnL
- $26.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $41.2
- Potential payout
- $64.88
- Potential profit
- $23.68
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.22
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Celtics position
Pacers vs. Celtics
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.91
BNK FEARX position
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Sinner position
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinner
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Solana reach $160 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 86% 139.53 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 89% 120.22 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?No 98.6% 107.75 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 80.1% 64.88 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?No 92.8% 107.76 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No 97.4% 22.59 shares
- Will Solana reach $160 in April?No 99.3% 33 shares
- Will Solana dip to $10 in April?No 99.8% 22.34 shares
- Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?No 99.7% 21.56 shares
- Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?No 99.7% 14.34 shares
- Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?No 99.4% 24.61 shares
- Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 14.35 shares