Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.65
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Polymarket Trader
SenecaMindful
@SenecaMindful
0x947d346aceb5650ec65e53e580c7b7dd9230d065
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.79
- Realized PnL
- $583.18
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $78.58
- Potential profit
- $77.52
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 9PM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.98
- Potential profit
- $70.98
- User PnL
- -$24.59
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $1.66
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $60.84
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $61.33
- Potential profit
- $61.29
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.03
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $47.13
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 11, 7PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$20.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$15.3
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $40.56
- Potential profit
- $40.54
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Yes position
Will MrBeast's Celebrity Challenge video get 85 million or more views on week 1?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.14
- Potential profit
- $29.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 9, 9PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $26
- User PnL
- -$11.96
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 9, 8PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$11.5
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 11, 4PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$11.04
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$7.8
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $14.99
- User PnL
- -$6.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 6PM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7PM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7PM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 3PM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 9AM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 2PM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1PM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 11AM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3PM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 12PM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10AM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4PM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 8PM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 9PM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10PM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETDown 45% 9.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETDown 84% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 59.5% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETDown 49% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETDown 50% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETUp 20% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETDown 34% 9.87 shares
- Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?Yes 22.8% 15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETDown 39% 7.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETDown 15% 8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETDown 28% 8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown 11% 9.99 shares