Polymarket Trader

0x94805dE5C2970255F295626323Cdb5ADd97af463-1778963982452

0x94805de5c2970255f295626323cdb5add97af463

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $78.55
Realized PnL: $262.36
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.81
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.81

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.7%
Current value: $27.95
Potential payout: $104.9
Potential profit: $76.94
Multiplier: 3.75x
User PnL: $22.95

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $3.2
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $96.81
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $90.5
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $7.75
Potential payout: $98.04
Potential profit: $90.3
Multiplier: 12.66x
User PnL: $2.75

No position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.63
Potential profit: $92.63
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $88.96
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $69.47
Potential profit: $69.44
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$29.97

No position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $5.31
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $57.19
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.91
Potential profit: $51.91
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Germany?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Germany?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.75
Potential profit: $23.75
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $9.89
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $12.33
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $21.43
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $2.87
Potential payout: $21.24
Potential profit: $18.37
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$7.33

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $18.87
User PnL: -$5

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $9.91
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $8.27
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.45

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37.4%
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $23.08

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.16

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

Yes position

Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.07

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.67

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.03

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.39

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.05

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.27

Yes position

Will Tarik Skubal win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

Ends Nov 12, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $5.04

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?

Yes 44.3% 64.34 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?

Yes 10% 50 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

No 55% 18.18 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 8% 62.5 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?

Yes 8.4% 59.34 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 45% 22.22 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Up 17% 11.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Up 17% 11.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Up 1% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Up 21% 9.52 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Yes 8% 90.9 shares