Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33K
- Potential profit
- $33K
- User PnL
- -$99
Polymarket Trader
hmmmmmhmmmmmm
0x94885a3566cd74f28e0346f22a4bf002046ad531
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.17
- Realized PnL
- $93.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $46.17
- Potential payout
- $8.39K
- Potential profit
- $8.35K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$122.12
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- User PnL
- -$718.06
Yes position
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.98
- Potential profit
- $3.98
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.82K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.22K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.24K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $978.56
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $849.99
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $780
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $734.4
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $573.29
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $551.1
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $414.7
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $350
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 1.1% 12,297.97 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 1.4% 5,456.93 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 1.6% 6,307.31 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 78,164.56 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 48,168.05 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.8% 0.12 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.1% 34,322.58 shares
- Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?No 15.4% 86.7 shares
- Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?Yes 41.3% 1,736.97 shares
- Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?Yes 0.3% 9,255.74 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 1.1% 7,248.99 shares
- Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?Yes 74.2% 983.75 shares