Polymarket Trader

doug223

0x948af81bd84ce87a3eb36689044c46dcaa9495e7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.01K
Realized PnL: $1.18K
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.33
Potential payout: $46.67K
Potential profit: $46.64K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$96.6

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $218.39
Potential payout: $8.6K
Potential profit: $8.38K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $49.72

Yes position

Will Fluminense win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.22K
Potential profit: $4.22K
User PnL: -$99.81

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $528.73
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $2.72K
Multiplier: 6.13x
User PnL: $113.01

Yes position

Will Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.75K
Potential profit: $2.75K
User PnL: -$99.71

Yes position

Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $2.74K
User PnL: -$99.76

Yes position

Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $2.04K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $156.77
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.84K
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$42.94

Yes position

Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.98K
User PnL: -$49.48

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$33.2

Yes position

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $82.51
Potential payout: $629.82
Potential profit: $547.31
Multiplier: 7.63x
User PnL: -$12.78

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $559.06
Potential profit: $559.06
User PnL: -$182.68

Yes position

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $282.35
Potential profit: $282.35
User PnL: -$65

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2300 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $281.74
Potential profit: $281.74
User PnL: -$169.04

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $268.73
Potential profit: $268.73
User PnL: -$78

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225.87
Potential profit: $225.87
User PnL: -$14.23

No position

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $85B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$20.4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$19.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $404.83

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $301.35

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $114.31

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.28

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.71

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $53.99

No position

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $90B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $49.18

Yes position

Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.07

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.59

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $30.21

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.18

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.1

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $17.15

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.9%
Multiplier: 1.70x
User PnL: $13.57

Yes position

Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.66

Yes position

Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.58

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$10.55

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 27-May 3?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.2

Yes position

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$14.58

No position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$17.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 15.2% 524.82 shares
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 14.9% 105 shares
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.6% 2,584.8 shares
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 3,333.33 shares
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.2% 29,739.93 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 12.9% 1,382.24 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 12.8% 54 shares
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 1% 2,399.99 shares
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 1.4% 1,500 shares
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 5,000 shares
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 7,500 shares
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 15,000 shares