Polymarket Trader

gagaleidi

0x9493c911a246eff42da5125eef4f1f12d71dbb09

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.18
Realized PnL: $45.27
Win rate: 46.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $650
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $9.14
Potential payout: $415.58
Potential profit: $406.43
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $284.44
Potential profit: $284.44
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $7.88
Potential payout: $225
Potential profit: $217.13
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$10.13

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.67
Potential profit: $216.67
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Drake have exactly 8 songs in the Billboard top 10?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.99
Potential profit: $209.99
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.32
Potential profit: $147.32
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.99
Potential profit: $145.99
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $131.87
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$2.53

Yes position

Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.12
Potential profit: $131.12
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $128.21
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$16.8

Yes position

Will Drake have exactly 10 songs in the Billboard top 10?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Drake have exactly 7 songs in the Billboard top 10?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.47
Potential profit: $97.47
User PnL: -$0.49

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $57.3
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$3.3

76ers position

76ers vs. Knicks

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.38
Potential profit: $52.38
User PnL: -$11

No position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.17
Potential profit: $52.17
User PnL: -$12

Magic position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.62
Potential profit: $34.62
User PnL: -$9

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Rico position

Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.14

No position

Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: $2.72

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.26

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$6.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Yes 13.7% 145.99 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 6.1% 339.62 shares
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

No 23% 52.17 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 5.3% 339.62 shares
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Yes 0.2% 650 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Yes 3.9% 128.21 shares
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 2.4% 415.58 shares
Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Yes 8% 225 shares
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Rico 30% 157.14 shares
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Yes 3% 133.33 shares
Epstein client list released by June 30?

Yes 3.9% 284.44 shares
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Rico 7% 157.14 shares