Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $79.82
- Potential payout
- $97.95
- Potential profit
- $18.13
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $15.17
Polymarket Trader
ADFAE
0x94953e87268e9609f003bc46d0abacfb65ad3384
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $128.97
- Realized PnL
- $54.66
- Win rate
- 76.9%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $49.15
- Potential payout
- $56.82
- Potential profit
- $7.67
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.11
Yes position
Will Russia capture Udachne by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
No position
Will Schoof resign as Netherlands PM in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Syria hold national elections before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Yes 66% 97.95 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 88% 56.82 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Yes 15% 66.67 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will Russia capture Udachne by August 31?Yes 96.6% 31 shares
- Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?Yes 44% 55.55 shares
- Will Russia capture Udachne by August 31?Yes 85% 31 shares
- Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?Yes 90% 55.56 shares
- Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?Yes 24% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?Yes 25% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?Yes 37% 108.11 shares
- Will Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days?No 97% 36.08 shares