Polymarket Trader

fishki

0x949da4d42ea4e1c7cad5cea18e8d67082309dab3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $172.45
Realized PnL: $13.53
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $150
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $3.36
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $21.64
Multiplier: 7.43x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $4.05
Potential payout: $19.44
Potential profit: $15.39
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: -$2.95

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $12.73
Potential profit: $7.92
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$2.2

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $10.23
Potential payout: $10.26
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.72

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?

Ends Nov 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.95

Pereira position

UFC 303: Who will win - Alex Pereira vs. Jiri Prochazka?

Ends Jun 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.67

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.33

Yes position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Gladiator II gross between $53-60m on opening weekend?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Young Thug found guilty of racketeering?

Ends Jun 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Crystal Palace wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Biden wins the Popular Vote?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.87

Paper Rex position

Valorant: Fnatic vs Paper Rex

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Silva position

UFC 303: Who will win - Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Macy Chiasson?

Ends Jun 29, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will another player lead the NBA in Assists?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.26

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$2K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 25 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96% 4,350 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

No 97.5% 10.26 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.2% 1,731.16 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.2% 1,731.16 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 96.2% 25.99 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 55% 12.73 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 36% 19.44 shares
Valorant: Fnatic vs Paper Rex

Paper Rex 61% 9.84 shares
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

Yes 19% 23.68 shares
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Yes 45% 13.33 shares
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?

Yes 73% 4.63 shares