Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $128.99
- Potential profit
- $127.25
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$3.26
Polymarket Trader
dioculos
0x94ac94d4aca4555d8ecd01503b8fb4e08dbe8d63
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.09
- Realized PnL
- $52.3
- Win rate
- 84.6%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $36.35
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $2.12
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $26.35
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.02
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.75
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes 3.9% 128.99 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Yes 85% 5.88 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 79% 15.56 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 63% 4.76 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 36% 13.89 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No 90% 4.3 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 32% 9.38 shares
- Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?Yes 26% 3.85 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 26% 38.46 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 56% 21.73 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No 65% 8.59 shares