0x94ae...d801

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $18.9
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $41.1
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$1.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$7.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $3.36
Potential payout: $7.99
Potential profit: $4.63
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Antioquia in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $4.96
Potential profit: $4.92
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $4.68
Potential profit: $2.88
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.65
Potential payout: $4.66
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $2.79

Yes position

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 23?

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $4.43
Potential profit: $3.1
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.32
Potential profit: $4.32
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $1.84
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $2.16
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Turkey sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $3.99
Potential profit: $3.9
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$0.49

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.74
Potential profit: $3.74
User PnL: -$2.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.68
Potential payout: $3.68
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$2.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.68
Potential profit: $2.68
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $2.02
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $2.48
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $0.92
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.35
Potential profit: $2.35
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.91
Potential profit: $1.91
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.86
Potential profit: $1.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $1.7
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.02

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.97

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Visa" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32

No position

Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 21, 10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 21, 2AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 19?