Polymarket Trader

0x94BF886A4a73D74BCF45f51F975b4F2E91cc3785-1761163632693

0x94bf886a4a73d74bcf45f51f975b4f2e91cc3785

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.6K
Realized PnL: $461.58
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $701.94
Potential payout: $749.94
Potential profit: $48
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $18.32

Yes position

5kt meteor strike in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $549.83
Potential profit: $549.83
User PnL: -$8.87

Yes position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $128.7
Potential payout: $467.99
Potential profit: $339.3
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$15.84

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $415.71
Potential profit: $415.71
User PnL: -$24.94

No position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $383
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $17
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $5.5

No position

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.9%
Current value: $284.1
Potential payout: $309.14
Potential profit: $25.04
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$3.57

No position

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $272.49
Potential payout: $279.91
Potential profit: $7.42
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $9.38

Yes position

Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.58
Potential profit: $270.58
User PnL: -$32.45

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $181
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $19
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $13

No position

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $194.19
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $5.8
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $9.72

No position

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $129.77
Potential payout: $152.67
Potential profit: $22.9
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$3.65

No position

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$37.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.69
Potential profit: $102.69
User PnL: -$20.5

No position

Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $98.68
Potential payout: $100.44
Potential profit: $1.76
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6.7

No position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $93.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $6.15
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $6.85

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.92
Potential profit: $68.92
User PnL: -$5.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.1
Potential profit: $64.1
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will "Doors - Noah Kahan" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.01
Potential profit: $45.01
User PnL: -$44.21

No position

Will Uzbekistan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $19.89
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Curacao reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Panama reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $107.33

No position

Milei out as President of Argentina in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.56

No position

Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.29

Yes position

Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.74

Yes position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Yes position

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1500.00 or higher on December 31 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.91

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

No position

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Will "Five Nights at Freddy's 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 42m?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

No position

US national XRP reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.67

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

No 94% 279.91 shares
100kt meteor strike in 2026?

No 91.5% 55 shares
100kt meteor strike in 2026?

No 91.4% 36.6 shares
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Yes 28% 18 shares
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 86% 16.67 shares
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 85% 10 shares
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

No 92.4% 10 shares
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

No 91.8% 34.13 shares
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

No 91.6% 299.82 shares
Will "Doors - Noah Kahan" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

No 98.2% 45.01 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

No 84% 200 shares
Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 99% 25 shares