Polymarket Trader

Nagykiraly

0x94c183d41f8890de234cf65c615ac1883af2e5ad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $71.93
Realized PnL: $1.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $14.58
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $818.75
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$5.42

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $27.55
Potential payout: $754.72
Potential profit: $727.17
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$12.45

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $29.8
Potential payout: $754.49
Potential profit: $724.69
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.2

Marko Miladinovic position

ITF Tulsa: Marko Miladinovic vs Maximus Dussault

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$80

No position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30

Calvin Hemery position

Royan: Lucio Ratti vs Calvin Hemery

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.77
Potential profit: $98.77
User PnL: -$80

Roman Safiullin position

Nottingham 2: Zhizhen Zhang vs Roman Safiullin

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.39
Potential profit: $96.39
User PnL: -$80

Philip Henning position

Royan: Philip Henning vs Gerard Campana Lee

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.95
Potential profit: $91.95
User PnL: -$80

Gilles Arnaud Bailly position

Royan: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Cosme de Ravel

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$80

Coco Gauff position

Grass Court Championships: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.89
Potential profit: $89.89
User PnL: -$80

Elena Rybakina position

Grass Court Championships: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakina

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.02
Potential profit: $86.02
User PnL: -$80

Peter Fajta position

ITF Gyula: Peter Fajta vs Aleksandr Braynin

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.21
Potential profit: $84.21
User PnL: -$80

Dalibor Svrcina position

Poznan: Dalibor Svrcina vs Gustavo Heide

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.68
Potential profit: $73.68
User PnL: -$70

Benjamin Bonzi position

Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.93
Potential profit: $65.93
User PnL: -$60

Gabriele Piraino position

Plovdiv: Gabriele Piraino vs Lorenzo Angelini

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.82
Potential profit: $56.82
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

XRP Up or Down on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $123.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.71

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.3

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.2

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.13

Jakub Vrba position

ITF Samobor: Jakub Vrba vs Noa Vukadin

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.98

Sara Victoria Balan position

ITF Bucharest: Sara Victoria Balan vs Anastasia Safta

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.1

Down position

Solana Up or Down on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.76

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.21

T1 Academy position

LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.56

Pavel Kotov position

Busan: Yi Zhou vs Pavel Kotov

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.37

Caty McNally position

Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Caty McNally vs Katie Volynets

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.07

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.49

Frances Tiafoe position

Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.56

Kaitlyn Carnicella position

ITF Irvine: Maria Aytoyan vs Kaitlyn Carnicella

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.56

San Diego Padres position

San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.46

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna position

Asuncion 2: Ignacio Parisca vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.7

Benjamin Thomas George position

ITF Samobor: Benjamin Thomas George vs Drazen Petrovic

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 833.33 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergs

Zizou Bergs 38% 72.28 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergs

Zizou Bergs 83% 72.29 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 5.3% 754.72 shares
Will Zimbabwe win?

Yes 99.9% 64.37 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo

Benjamin Bonzi 91% 65.93 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 92% 54.35 shares
Will Zimbabwe win?

Yes 93.2% 64.38 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 4% 754.49 shares
Plovdiv: Gabriele Piraino vs Lorenzo Angelini

Gabriele Piraino 88% 56.82 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 3.1% 245.7 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?

Yes 96.6% 21.87 shares