Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $2.76K
- Potential payout
- $324.54K
- Potential profit
- $321.78K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$486.82
Polymarket Trader
Railcool
0x94c4fe3b18435aa92024c7c1589537fcda3f43ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.32K
- Realized PnL
- $198.76K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.95K
- Potential profit
- $66.95K
- User PnL
- -$15.58K
Yes position
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $18.32K
- Potential payout
- $33.92K
- Potential profit
- $15.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $4.79K
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.96K
- Potential profit
- $32.96K
- User PnL
- -$15.75K
Yes position
Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.36K
- Potential profit
- $26.36K
- User PnL
- -$3.9K
Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $5.62K
- Potential payout
- $23.9K
- Potential profit
- $18.28K
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.67K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.15K
- Potential profit
- $23.15K
- User PnL
- -$8.24K
Yes position
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.77K
- Potential profit
- $22.77K
- User PnL
- -$1.46K
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $9.08K
- Potential payout
- $20.64K
- Potential profit
- $11.56K
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $348.2
Yes position
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.19K
- Potential profit
- $20.19K
- User PnL
- -$6.89K
No position
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.58K
- Potential profit
- $18.58K
- User PnL
- -$10.35K
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.77K
- Potential profit
- $15.77K
- User PnL
- -$12.02K
Yes position
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.67K
- Potential profit
- $12.67K
- User PnL
- -$8.97K
Yes position
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.14K
- Potential profit
- $11.14K
- User PnL
- -$4.28K
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $182.18
- Potential payout
- $11.04K
- Potential profit
- $10.86K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$35.62
Yes position
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.24K
- Potential profit
- $10.24K
- User PnL
- -$2.87K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.56K
- Potential profit
- $9.56K
- User PnL
- -$4.88K
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 30% or more?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $9K
- User PnL
- -$494.84
No position
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.63K
- Potential profit
- $8.63K
- User PnL
- -$7K
Yes position
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.3%
- Current value
- $2.27K
- Potential payout
- $8.62K
- Potential profit
- $6.35K
- Multiplier
- 3.80x
- User PnL
- $626.84
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.2K
- Potential payout
- $8.2K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.64K
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.06K
- Potential payout
- $7.06K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.11K
Yes position
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.98K
- Potential profit
- $6.98K
- User PnL
- -$1.4K
Yes position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $838.97
- Potential payout
- $6.45K
- Potential profit
- $5.61K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $73.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.85K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.68K
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.7K
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.36K
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.23K
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.38K
Yes position
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.16K
No position
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.98K
No position
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74K
No position
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15K
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9K
No position
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49K
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04K
No position
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1K
Yes position
Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74K
Yes position
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
Yes position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Yes position
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Yes position
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
No position
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23K
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?Yes 99.5% 1,121.27 shares
- Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?Yes 99.2% 5 shares
- Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes 41% 10 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Yes 0.1% 7,319.56 shares
- Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?No 62% 5.36 shares
- Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes 39% 160 shares
- Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes 39% 123.95 shares
- Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes 34.5% 74.13 shares
- Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes 37.9% 58.55 shares
- Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes 33% 99.95 shares
- Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes 31% 108.07 shares
- Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes 30.8% 117.36 shares