Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
Polymarket Trader
ardencies
0x94d33c9c3d2dd60deab95ebded37fc11d061e394
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $970.51
- Realized PnL
- -$1.94K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$997.99
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $970.51
- Potential payout
- $975.88
- Potential profit
- $5.37
- User PnL
- $121.5
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $350
- User PnL
- -$206.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $538.47
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $508.06
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.62
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.99
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.61
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $25.66
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.52
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.01K
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.01K
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.29K
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.39K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Yes 87% 975.88 shares
- Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?Yes 1% 2,100 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-27?Yes 86% 2,065.25 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Yes 21% 8,631.67 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Yes 36% 8,631.67 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Yes 92% 3,400 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Yes 80% 3,400 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 68% 4,142.04 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 55% 4,142.04 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 37.3% 2,166.67 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 39.4% 3,722.7 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 38.9% 5,946.84 shares