danmed

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.6K
Potential profit: $15.6K
User PnL: -$2.57K

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $2.08K
Potential payout: $14.38K
Potential profit: $12.3K
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.97K
Potential profit: $8.97K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $93.69
Potential payout: $4.38K
Potential profit: $4.28K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$32.85

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $76.48
Potential payout: $4.37K
Potential profit: $4.29K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$74.72

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: -$325

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $2.29K
User PnL: -$565.01

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $10.2
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.69K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$296.33

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.14
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $1.57K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$203.53

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $624.97
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $918.16
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$69.44

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$180

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$208

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$89.9

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $818.25
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $470.34
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $360.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$153.89

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.06
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$279.2

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $195.45
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $806.87
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $27.35

Yes position

Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $992.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$127.86

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$130

Yes position

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $991.5
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $989.5
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

70k position

Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $979.25

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $445.42

80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $396.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 2AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $321.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.7

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.84

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 6AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET