No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $48.71K
- Potential payout
- $55.99K
- Potential profit
- $7.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $4.69K
Polymarket Trader
devin.lawson.77
0x94d6f6119c9d2897719e59e4ced31a212e749ab8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $94.51K
- Realized PnL
- $5.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $390.15
- Potential payout
- $45.9K
- Potential profit
- $45.51K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$216.56
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $26.23K
- Potential profit
- $25.09K
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $20.72
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $11.62K
- Potential payout
- $12.52K
- Potential profit
- $894.99
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$20.9
No position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $8.37K
- Potential payout
- $9.05K
- Potential profit
- $678.62
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $839.62
No position
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $6.31K
- Potential payout
- $6.49K
- Potential profit
- $178.4
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $419.37
No position
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $5.7K
- Potential payout
- $5.92K
- Potential profit
- $216.01
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $222.93
No position
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $4.66K
- Potential payout
- $4.92K
- Potential profit
- $258.23
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $276.32
No position
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.42K
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- User PnL
- $148.63
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $65.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $934.5
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $18.5
No position
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $944.99
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $55
No position
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $611.7
- Potential payout
- $616.02
- Potential profit
- $4.31
- User PnL
- $139.01
No position
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $573
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $27
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $544.6
- Potential payout
- $567.59
- Potential profit
- $22.99
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $17.26
No position
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $462
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $88
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $452.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $47.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $28.5
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $385.42
- Potential payout
- $391.49
- Potential profit
- $6.07
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $21.99
Yes position
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $115.37
- Potential payout
- $354.99
- Potential profit
- $239.62
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$46.7
No position
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $240.54
- Potential payout
- $268.76
- Potential profit
- $28.22
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $229
- Potential payout
- $229.69
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- User PnL
- $2.18
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $191.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $191.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.5
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$50.5
No position
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $178.99
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $21
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $512.11
No position
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $482.62
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375.79
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.15
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.28
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.67
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.51
No position
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $125
No position
Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.46
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.5
Yes position
Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year?
Ends Feb 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.99
No position
Will 'The Tortured Poets Department' win Album of the Year?
Ends Feb 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.36
No position
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.3
Yes position
Will Chappell Roan win Best New Artist?
Ends Feb 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.5
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.26
No position
Will 'BRAT' win Album of the Year?
Ends Feb 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.94
No position
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
No position
Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.09
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by less than 5%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.2
No position
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41
No position
Will "Carnival" by Kanye West and Ty Dolla $ign featuring Rich the Kid and Playboi Carti win Best Rap Song?
Ends Jan 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 95.5% 670.14 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 88% 5 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 88% 573.06 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No 11% 100 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Yes 62% 20 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 92% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.1% 20 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?No 89% 288.76 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 86% 582.82 shares
- Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 87.2% 686.65 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99% 100 shares
- Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 7% 100 shares