Yes position
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.67K
- Potential profit
- $60.67K
- User PnL
- -$285.33
Polymarket Trader
xlefgerx
0x94e4639e9aef0eab61533ecafe74c5f15662534a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.54K
- Realized PnL
- $3.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.99K
- Potential profit
- $52.99K
- User PnL
- -$105.97
Yes position
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $75
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.93K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.07K
- Potential profit
- $45.07K
- User PnL
- -$225.35
Yes position
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.1K
- Potential profit
- $38.1K
- User PnL
- -$54.98
Yes position
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $343.78
- Potential payout
- $36.19K
- Potential profit
- $35.84K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$71.43
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $270.45
- Potential payout
- $36.06K
- Potential profit
- $35.79K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $21.24
Yes position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $189.47
- Potential payout
- $29.15K
- Potential profit
- $28.96K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $27.08
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $595.68
- Potential payout
- $27.84K
- Potential profit
- $27.24K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$188.48
Yes position
Will the US strike Mexico next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.83K
- Potential profit
- $27.83K
- User PnL
- -$27.83
Yes position
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26K
- Potential profit
- $26K
- User PnL
- -$54.08
No position
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.63K
- Potential profit
- $24.63K
- User PnL
- -$930.51
Yes position
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $175.24
- Potential payout
- $23.37K
- Potential profit
- $23.19K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $35.05
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $168.42
- Potential payout
- $22.46K
- Potential profit
- $22.29K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.65
Yes position
Will the US strike Cuba next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.09K
- Potential profit
- $22.09K
- User PnL
- -$23.55
Yes position
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $137.26
- Potential payout
- $21.12K
- Potential profit
- $20.98K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$38.14
Yes position
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $129.15
- Potential payout
- $19.87K
- Potential profit
- $19.74K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $148.46
- Potential payout
- $19.79K
- Potential profit
- $19.65K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.78
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.59K
- Potential profit
- $19.59K
- User PnL
- -$32.14
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $309.12
- Potential payout
- $18.73K
- Potential profit
- $18.43K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$87.7
Yes position
Will the US strike Colombia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.67K
- Potential profit
- $18.67K
- User PnL
- -$19.67
Yes position
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.05K
- Potential profit
- $18.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.83
Yes position
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.99K
- Potential profit
- $16.99K
- User PnL
- -$32.61
Yes position
Will the US strike Nigeria next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.5K
- Potential profit
- $16.5K
- User PnL
- -$20.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $484.98
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.48
Yes position
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.58
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.63
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.26
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $180.51
Yes position
Will the US strike Mexico next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $114.78
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $101.1
Yes position
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.26
No position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $84.03
No position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.59
No position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.69
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $53.97
Yes position
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- $51.79
Yes position
Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $49.98
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.23
Yes position
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $35.63
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $33.8
Yes position
Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.75
Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $33.33
Yes position
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $32.61
No position
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.01
Yes position
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes 5.5% 352 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 5% 10 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 6% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes 0.2% 100.59 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes 0.3% 94.81 shares
- Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes 3.3% 152.4 shares
- Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes 3.3% 120.07 shares
- Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.7% 2,567.44 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes 6.4% 256 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes 6.5% 118 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $42-$49 in June?Yes 0.7% 150 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?Yes 0.9% 500 shares