Yes position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $576.93
- Potential profit
- $576.93
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
buur
0x94e4831a4e7d37ad0063def3707706b9158e6be5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $135.65
- Realized PnL
- $1.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Rio Phillips be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $459.99
- Potential profit
- $459.99
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340.25
- Potential profit
- $340.25
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $92.8
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $227.2
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be less than $125M at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$7.6
Yes position
Will Xiaomi have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $15.85
- Potential payout
- $150.91
- Potential profit
- $135.06
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$9.15
Yes position
Will Trump say "Pope" or "Leo" this week? (April 20 - 26)
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.79
- Potential profit
- $139.79
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.75
- Potential profit
- $120.75
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $610b on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be between $90M and $110M at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $26.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $73.5
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$43.5
Yes position
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Jesse Wright win Saddle Bronc Riding at the 2026 American Rodeo West Regional?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will Integra Lifesciences (IART) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Chase Brooks win Saddle Bronc Riding at the 2026 American Rodeo West Regional?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will gas hit (Low) $3.75 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will gas hit (Low) $3.50 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.5
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will Spencer Wright win Saddle Bronc Riding at the 2026 American Rodeo West Regional?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$12.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $124.18
Strickland position
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.13
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.13
No position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $75.33
Medvedev position
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Draper (+1.5)
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.47
Cerundolo position
Rio Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.59
Korda position
Set Handicap: Korda (-1.5) vs McDonald (+1.5)
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.54
Tabilo position
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passaro
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.29
Tabilo position
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Emilio Nava
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.61
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.71
Rublev position
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Jong (+1.5)
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.94
Mensik position
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Zhizhen Zhang
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.63
Mensik position
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Alexei Popyrin
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.85
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
Will SoftBank HAWKS gaming qualify for EWC 2026?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.76
No position
Will Getty Images Holdings (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.45
Yes position
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.8
Mensik position
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jannik Sinner
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.08
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.15
No position
Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.6
No position
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.59
Yes position
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.7% 20 shares
- Will Suzzanna V. Tanner advance to the general election for WA-03?No 98.7% 4.07 shares
- Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?No 48% 11.22 shares
- Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?No 58% 8.78 shares
- Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?No 92.4% 20 shares
- Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?No 93% 20 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?No 77.8% 20 shares
- Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?Yes 91% 20 shares
- Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?No 36.6% 89.99 shares
- Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?No 40% 10.01 shares
- Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes 8.3% 120.75 shares
- Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?No 58% 20 shares