Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.64
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $170.78
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$48.36
Polymarket Trader
xposed
0x94e48aa64f720d152e90f42b7354e241ab17297b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $61.35
- Realized PnL
- $585.61
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.62
- Potential profit
- $124.62
- User PnL
- -$26.26
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $26.95
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $83.05
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $58
- User PnL
- -$26.68
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $29.84
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $21.17
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $5.36
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.25
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$24.75
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $44.64
- Potential profit
- $44.46
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$24.82
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.32
- Potential profit
- $40.32
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$25.2
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.31
- Potential profit
- $37.31
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.97
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.34
No position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.61
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.29
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.37
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.02
Yes position
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.75
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.96
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $22.8
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $20.37
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.06
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.94
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.93
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.37
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.95
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.65
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.93
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.97
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.64
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 48% 51 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 23% 110 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 55% 50 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 38.1% 131.37 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 40% 120 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 76% 92.59 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 44% 86.2 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 59% 63 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 29% 86.21 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 39.9% 151.97 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 67% 37.31 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 56% 44.64 shares