No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.4K
- Potential profit
- $38.4K
- User PnL
- -$2.1K
Polymarket Trader
0x94E7D38CC50F9167d4420cbd5229906D5cc7a5c3-1772319270038
0x94e7d38cc50f9167d4420cbd5229906d5cc7a5c3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $494.81
- Realized PnL
- $77.54
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $592.4
- Potential profit
- $592.4
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $548.11
- Potential profit
- $548.11
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $398.77
- Potential profit
- $398.77
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.97
- Potential profit
- $333.97
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $307.8
- Potential profit
- $307.8
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $283.84
- Potential profit
- $283.84
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256.41
- Potential profit
- $256.41
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.41
- Potential profit
- $236.41
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $146.94
- Potential payout
- $202.68
- Potential profit
- $55.74
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $46.94
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $141.17
- Potential payout
- $141.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $41.17
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.2%
- Current value
- $94.52
- Potential payout
- $138.7
- Potential profit
- $44.17
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$5.48
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $112.18
- Potential payout
- $128.21
- Potential profit
- $16.03
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $12.18
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.41
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.04
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 7% 71.43 shares
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 36.5% 548.11 shares
- Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 12.5% 398.77 shares
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 16.9% 592.4 shares
- Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 32.5% 307.8 shares
- Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 29.9% 333.97 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 42.3% 236.41 shares
- France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No 87.3% 229.04 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 5.5% 36,442.98 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 5.1% 1,960.78 shares
- Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes 70.8% 141.17 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 49.3% 202.68 shares