No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $9.95K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
wubddh
0x94eb0ee9ff35f5b14f8d3c3be3967e9deba837e6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.29K
- Realized PnL
- $60.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $9.86K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $134.99
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$23.85
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $7.78K
- Potential payout
- $7.8K
- Potential profit
- $27.31
- User PnL
- $27.31
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.5K
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- User PnL
- $133.78
No position
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $4.97K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- $170
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.9%
- Current value
- $254.41
- Potential payout
- $292.93
- Potential profit
- $38.52
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$26.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.73K
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.59K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84K
Yes position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06K
Yes position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
Yes position
Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
Yes position
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
Yes position
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Ends Oct 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.5% 10,000 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.9% 8,608.41 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 53.1% 6,049.85 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 99.9% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 96.4% 6,327.9 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 347.23 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 98.8% 300 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 98.8% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 96% 292.93 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 84% 719.04 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.4% 2,400 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.4% 2,391.04 shares