No position
Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $29.36
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Polymarket Trader
Maddoxd5
0x94f93079fe4c0d11932b4d4e7c64e3dc651b6e1d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.42
- Realized PnL
- $12.85
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will John Mills be the Republican nominee for AL-01?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.4%
- Current value
- $21.92
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
Will anyone say "World Champion" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $8.15
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $8.85
- Multiplier
- 2.09x
- User PnL
- -$8.51
No position
Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 56% and 58%?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.1
No position
Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.99
- Potential payout
- $7.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 46-47°F on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Send Help be the highest grossing movie this weekend?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be 90% or higher?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will there be 14-16 inches of snow in NYC in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will "XO, Kitty: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in January?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Christine Bish advance from the CA-03 primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Brandon Herrera be the Republican nominee for TX-23?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or below on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will anyone say "World Champion" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?Yes 98% 17 shares
- Will the price of Solana be above $100 on July 3?No 99.9% 33 shares
- Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?No 99.9% 1.46 shares
- Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?No 99.9% 25 shares
- Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?No 99.9% 15 shares
- Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?No 98% 15 shares
- Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No 99.9% 30 shares
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in May?No 99.9% 20 shares
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in May?No 98.5% 20 shares
- Will Apple announce the iPhone 18 during the WWDC 2026 keynote?No 99% 16 shares
- Will Apple announce the iPhone 18 during the WWDC 2026 keynote?No 98% 16 shares
- Will Christine Bish advance from the CA-03 primary election?No 99.9% 16 shares