Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$3.46K
Polymarket Trader
Paeniscus
0x95143bf12f8c034f5fe15ac696b893e23788136f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.99K
- Realized PnL
- $5.37K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $5.38K
- Potential payout
- $6.01K
- Potential profit
- $631.53
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$21.58
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $38.04
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $118.04
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-05 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.51K
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $158.2
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$18.47
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $162.33
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $23.19
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $124.95
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $29.75
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-03 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $47.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $57.75
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $736.63
- Potential payout
- $813.96
- Potential profit
- $77.33
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$4.07
No position
Will PDC win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$247.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54K
No position
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.66
No position
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $347.87
Yes position
Will neither OP_CTV nor OP_CAT be activated in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.03
No position
Fed rate hike in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.02
No position
Will only OP_CTV be activated in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.57
No position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.93
No position
New pandemic before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.27
No position
Lee Jae-myung arrested before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.09
No position
Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
No position
Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.43
No position
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Spain power outage caused by hack?
Ends May 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will Trump meet with Khamenei before August?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.26
No position
Will Trump visit China before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$11.21
Yes position
Will only OP_CAT be activated in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$61.27
Yes position
Will both OP_CTV and OP_CAT be activated in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$61.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat?No 88% 1,546 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the TX-05 House seat?No 91.6% 1,665.3 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the LA-03 House seat?No 90% 1,050 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?No 91% 813.96 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?Yes 87% 1,190 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?No 90% 4,014.57 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?No 89.6% 2,000 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the NJ-06 House seat?No 92% 1,951 shares
- Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?No 83.8% 453.25 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2025?No 96% 980 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?No 94% 1,083.26 shares
- Will Trump visit China before September?No 98.4% 750 shares