No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $213.24
- Potential payout
- $218.82
- Potential profit
- $5.58
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $13.24
Polymarket Trader
amqu
0x951aca9fdbeb53f235789ad7a6a068d14fa73bf0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $498.91
- Realized PnL
- -$13.48
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $112.5
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $54.17
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $102.75
- Potential payout
- $109.89
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $70.42
- Potential payout
- $77.01
- Potential profit
- $6.58
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $85.54
Down position
Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.55
Yes position
Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.52
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.64
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
No position
Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.21
Yes position
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.59
No position
Macron out by October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.42
No position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
No position
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Israel strikes Iran by October 3?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.11
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$24.61
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- -$43.99
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$171.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?No 90.9% 77.01 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 66% 166.67 shares
- OPEC dissolves in 2026?No 91% 109.89 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 91.4% 218.82 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 48.1% 116.55 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 85.8% 116.55 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 20?No 81.9% 97.64 shares
- Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?Yes 25.9% 386 shares
- Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?Yes 94.9% 277.77 shares
- Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?Yes 76% 6.66 shares
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?Yes 78% 10 shares
- Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?Yes 60% 6.67 shares