No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $46.52K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $3.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Polymarket Trader
helloiamworld
0x951e04e7e699882031e224763b558f7e26d4cd9c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $119.78K
- Realized PnL
- $56.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $19.87K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- $550
No position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $19.23K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $769.99
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.03K
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $11.27K
- Potential payout
- $12.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $62.25
No position
Clavicular charged again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.48K
- Potential profit
- $10.48K
- User PnL
- -$7.61K
No position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $9K
- Potential payout
- $10.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $2.21K
No position
Chirayu Rana divorced?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $9.35K
- Potential payout
- $9.38K
- Potential profit
- $32.83
- User PnL
- $126.64
No position
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.4K
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $15.69
- User PnL
- $105.03
No position
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $800
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $200
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $110
No position
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $583.2
- Potential payout
- $587.01
- Potential profit
- $3.82
- User PnL
- $54.89
No position
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $476.07
- Potential payout
- $493.08
- Potential profit
- $17.01
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $42.16
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $260.08
- Potential payout
- $273.92
- Potential profit
- $13.83
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$6.98
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $15.94
- Potential payout
- $16.01
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.36K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.19K
No position
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84K
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01K
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
No position
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
No position
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
N
No position
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $994.4
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $880
No position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $627.04
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $604.27
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497.38
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $449.97
No position
Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.32
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325
No position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.31
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250
No position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.94
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175
No position
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.6% 100,000 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No 99.6% 2,123.72 shares
- Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?No 97.1% 55.72 shares
- Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?No 99% 213.2 shares
- Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?No 99% 30,983.8 shares
- Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?No 88.9% 67,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.8% 159,603.99 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.8% 97,134.59 shares
- Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 99.1% 20,000 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 97.5% 7,295.54 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 96.9% 2,521.06 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 96.9% 21,886.55 shares