Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $4.43K
- Potential payout
- $27.46K
- Potential profit
- $23.02K
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- $3.59K
Polymarket Trader
sbfe
0x951e1df0ec2f0ed2ef7d9b75d002996fe521d394
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.53K
- Realized PnL
- $14.85K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $87.5
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $24.91K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $11.82K
- Potential profit
- $10.46K
- Multiplier
- 8.66x
- User PnL
- $360.32
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $82.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.92K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $1.56K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $510
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69K
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
Yes position
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $876.65
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $793.13
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.41
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.6
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.98
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.33
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.7
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.4
No position
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.25
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.48
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.28
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.52
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.07
Yes position
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.5% 11,764.71 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 4,477.61 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 71% 4,225.35 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2% 5,000 shares
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 25,000 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes 92.6% 5,399.59 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes 86.3% 5,793.13 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes 47% 6,382.98 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 66% 4,989.34 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 75% 1,333.33 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 35% 200 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 3.5% 778.42 shares