Polymarket Trader

cryptophiliac

0x9520d1140e2352b78e322cb106fe1a8027f5fa6e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.28K
Realized PnL: $5.35K
Win rate: 21.1%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.91K
Potential profit: $40.91K
User PnL: -$122.74

Yes position

Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.22K
Potential profit: $34.22K
User PnL: -$160.84

Yes position

Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.28K
Potential profit: $22.28K
User PnL: -$111.42

Yes position

Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22K
Potential profit: $22.22K
User PnL: -$88.89

Yes position

Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.93K
Potential profit: $11.93K
User PnL: -$59.66

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.49K
Potential profit: $11.49K
User PnL: -$93.67

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.28K
Potential profit: $11.28K
User PnL: -$247.97

Yes position

Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.62K
Potential profit: $10.62K
User PnL: -$53.08

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?

Ends Apr 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$70.03

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $9K
User PnL: -$63

Yes position

Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.89K
Potential profit: $8.89K
User PnL: -$35.55

Yes position

Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.78K
Potential profit: $7.78K
User PnL: -$62.22

Yes position

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Algeria?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $3.8K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$28.5

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $109.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.89K
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $93.49
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$9.27

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 70.6%
Current value: $882.75
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $367.25
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $273.38

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Algeria?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$41.4

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 8.9%
Current value: $53.1
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $546.9
Multiplier: 11.30x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $574.54
Potential profit: $569.66
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Algeria?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $64.75
Potential payout: $370
Potential profit: $305.25
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $5.55

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $22.05
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $187.95
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $46
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $154
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $187.82
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.72K

No position

Solana above $130 on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $691

Yes position

Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $640.63

Yes position

Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in January?

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.26

Yes position

Debt ceiling abolished before Trump inauguration?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.47

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.4

Yes position

Hawk Tuah OnlyFans by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23.92

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Raptors

Ends Jan 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Trump's inaugural address be 10-12 minutes?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30.07

No position

Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$34.5

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Pelicans

Ends Jan 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Bulls position

Hawks vs. Bulls

Ends Jan 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$91.31

Yes position

Human to human bird flu transmission before February?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$110.79

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$126

Yes position

Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$218.4

Yes position

Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$608.64

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Trump?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.29K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.7% 777 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.6% 768.24 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.7% 3,000 shares
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Algeria?

Yes 10% 87.75 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 0.8% 574.54 shares
Ruben Vargas: 1+ assists

Yes 12.3% 26.4 shares
Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals

Yes 24% 118.33 shares
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Algeria?

Yes 3.5% 742.44 shares
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Algeria?

Yes 16% 370 shares
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Algeria?

Yes 0.8% 50 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 9.3% 559.99 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 11% 210 shares