Polymarket Trader

Crock95

0x9524e6caca4da8aa811b57564a0a5a6d9fc286cf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.04K
Realized PnL: $224.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.23K
Potential profit: $17.23K
User PnL: -$84.14

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $410.97
Potential payout: $7.4K
Potential profit: $6.99K
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $70.35

Yes position

Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.94K
Potential profit: $6.94K
User PnL: -$1.42K

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $563.87
Potential payout: $6.23K
Potential profit: $5.67K
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: $59.19

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.8K
Potential profit: $5.8K
User PnL: -$4.65K

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $3.22K
Potential payout: $5.6K
Potential profit: $2.38K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $195.98

Yes position

Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.15K
Potential profit: $5.15K
User PnL: -$41.94

Yes position

Will Hubert Hurkacz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $20.14
Potential payout: $4.48K
Potential profit: $4.46K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $2.24

Missed position

World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.04K
Potential profit: $4.04K
User PnL: -$825.44

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $3.77K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $230
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $570

No position

Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $3.98K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: $896

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $2.91K
Potential payout: $3.29K
Potential profit: $378.03
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $279.41

Yes position

Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: -$420.17

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.99K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$6.49

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $197.13
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.43K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$170.84

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $388.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.11K
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $311.25

No position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $2.14K
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $94.84
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $41.81

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 60.4%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $833.73
Multiplier: 1.66x
User PnL: $1.15K

No position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $1.88K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $123
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $137

No position

Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$95.3

Yes position

Will Karolína Muchová win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$27.91

Yes position

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $133.13
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$39.94

No position

Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $2.92
User PnL: $172.28

Yes position

Will Pacto Histórico win 30+ seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$28.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $119.99K

Yes position

Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?

Ends Oct 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.79K

Yes position

Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.19K

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.92K

Yes position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.53K

Yes position

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.89K

Yes position

Will PAS win by greater than >16% of the vote?

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.82K

Yes position

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.44K

Yes position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.73K

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.72K

Tallon Griekspoor position

Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Tallon Griekspoor

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $4.71K

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $4.38K

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86K

Yes position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35K

No position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24K

Yes position

Will Franco Parisi come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22K

Yes position

Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.14K

No position

Will Crin Antonescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09K

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04K

Yes position

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96K

Yes position

Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91K

No position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.78K

No position

Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

No 14% 3,500 shares
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?

Yes 0.6% 900.81 shares
Trump meets with Putin by June 30?

Yes 1.5% 780.63 shares
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?

Yes 0.4% 1,631.3 shares
World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?

Missed 26.3% 162 shares
World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?

Missed 22.2% 236.99 shares
World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?

Missed 23% 291.99 shares
World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?

Missed 22% 50 shares
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?

Yes 97.9% 107 shares
Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?

No 98.5% 1,587.57 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 54% 579.86 shares
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva

Maja Chwalinska 18% 100 shares