Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $109.66
- Potential payout
- $933.3
- Potential profit
- $823.64
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $35.01
Polymarket Trader
5m168
0x952d11ebff81d6bd3185e608ed3515b94618ab8a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $728.91
- Realized PnL
- $3.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $50.04
- Potential payout
- $885.71
- Potential profit
- $835.67
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $6.64
No position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $775.5
- Potential profit
- $775.5
- User PnL
- -$279.18
No position
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $581.33
- Potential profit
- $581.33
- User PnL
- -$232.53
No position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $83.53
- Potential payout
- $265.19
- Potential profit
- $181.65
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$14.59
No position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $101.98
- Potential payout
- $201.94
- Potential profit
- $99.96
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Under position
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.88
- Potential profit
- $194.88
- User PnL
- -$76.48
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $78.41
- Potential payout
- $149.35
- Potential profit
- $70.94
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $18.4
- Potential payout
- $136.32
- Potential profit
- $117.92
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$11.59
Y
Yes position
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $43.15
- Potential payout
- $77.75
- Potential profit
- $34.6
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$6.61
Over position
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $29.54
- Potential payout
- $59.68
- Potential profit
- $30.14
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $48.58
- Potential payout
- $55.52
- Potential profit
- $6.94
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Down position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $6.12
- Potential payout
- $38.27
- Potential profit
- $32.15
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$9.65
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Current value
- $31.03
- Potential payout
- $33.67
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $31.22
- Potential profit
- $29.93
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$9.94
N
No position
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $16.94
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $11.06
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Y
Yes position
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $18.87
- Potential payout
- $24.67
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $4.06
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $11.27
- Potential payout
- $22.77
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $19.91
- Potential payout
- $21.76
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.94
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $14.42
- Potential payout
- $20.31
- Potential profit
- $5.89
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $10.95
- Potential payout
- $15.75
- Potential profit
- $4.81
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $14.33
- Potential payout
- $15.12
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $11.75
- Potential payout
- $12.26
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $8.72
- Potential payout
- $12.11
- Potential profit
- $3.39
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $730.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.47
Camilo Ugo Carabelli position
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.12
Yes position
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 51% 3.88 shares
- Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?Yes 23% 21.38 shares
- Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 65% 9.14 shares
- Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 65% 9.14 shares
- Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 61% 9.72 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?No 55% 7.09 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?No 54% 2.48 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?No 54% 2.48 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?No 54% 2.06 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?No 54% 3.94 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?No 54% 1.98 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?No 54% 4.91 shares