Polymarket Trader

michacha

0x954e3080f8122c426b12f23afb66221ac3e0f704

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $177.53
Realized PnL: $970.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $19.65
Potential payout: $714.71
Potential profit: $695.05
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$30.35

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $475
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $391
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $6.69
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $305.81
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$18.31

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $23.26
Potential payout: $156.64
Potential profit: $133.38
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.8%
Current value: $35.38
Potential payout: $84.75
Potential profit: $49.36
Multiplier: 2.40x
User PnL: $25.38

Yes position

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.7%
Current value: $21.87
Potential payout: $62.95
Potential profit: $41.08
Multiplier: 2.88x
User PnL: $11.87

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $9.81
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $27.22
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 63.4%
Current value: $16.56
Potential payout: $26.11
Potential profit: $9.55
Multiplier: 1.58x
User PnL: $6.56

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $9.33
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $12.89
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.33

Yes position

Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.4

Yes position

Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.91

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.86

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.93

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.49

Yes position

Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.45

Yes position

Egypt to score first vs. Argentina?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.29

Yes position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.36

Djokovic position

Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Djokovic

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.56

Egypt position

Spread: Egypt (-1.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.12

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.58

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.9%
Multiplier: 1.70x
User PnL: $28.06

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

Yes position

Will Cameron Young win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-8.5)

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25

Yes position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25

Yes position

Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Over position

Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Yes 15.9% 62.95 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?

Yes 27% 37.04 shares
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?

Yes 73.9% 125 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 125 shares
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?

Yes 8% 125 shares
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?

Yes 8% 125 shares
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Yes 42% 25.64 shares
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Yes 39% 25.64 shares
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Spain 63.5% 24.69 shares
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

Yes 53% 37.74 shares
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?

Yes 30% 33.33 shares
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?

Yes 7% 142.86 shares