Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $3.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.35
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Polymarket Trader
10RobynJohn
0x9567052b79c9ab32673029cca4de62e34a657bd9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.33
- Realized PnL
- $170.21
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.06
- Potential profit
- $68.06
- User PnL
- -$11.26
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $11.48
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $38.53
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $2.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3.11
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.8%
- Current value
- $10.88
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $39.13
- Multiplier
- 4.60x
- User PnL
- $4.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.48
- Potential profit
- $47.48
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $19.33
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $17.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.98
No position
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 28?Yes 0.1% 655.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 28?Yes 0.1% 655.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 28?Yes 0.5% 1,310.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 28?Yes 9% 20 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes 88.3% 154 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 23?Yes 7% 18.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 23?Yes 9.9% 10 shares
- Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 1.5% 100 shares
- Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 1.8% 100 shares
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?No 3% 200 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.8% 50 shares