0x95787a43358070157e6d99B787Bd7012d936650A-1777810227372

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$16.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $852.3
Potential profit: $852.3
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $567.69
Potential profit: $567.4
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $251.73
Potential profit: $251.61
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.87

Down position

BNB Up or Down - May 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $245.63
Potential profit: $245.63
User PnL: -$3.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $232.38
Potential profit: $232.26
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.43
Potential profit: $218.43
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $198.1
Potential profit: $197.8
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $181.65
Potential profit: $181.56
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $155.07
Potential profit: $154.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $145.33
Potential profit: $145.12
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $135.69
Potential profit: $132.64
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $1.05

Down position

BNB Up or Down - May 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134
Potential profit: $134
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $22.21
Potential payout: $109.42
Potential profit: $87.21
Multiplier: 4.93x
User PnL: $15.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.66
Potential profit: $106.66
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $93.5
Potential profit: $93.13
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $84.69
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.41
Potential profit: $79.41
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $77.37
Potential profit: $77.22
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.99
Potential profit: $76.99
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.91
Potential profit: $71.91
User PnL: -$4.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $69.16
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C or below on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.38
Potential profit: $63.38
User PnL: -$8.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.22

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.21

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.66

Down position

XRP Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.13

Up position

XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.92

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET