Polymarket Trader

day21

0x9578d213ab67114d4e35761fb715faac442d20b9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.89
Realized PnL: $42.47
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will no leader be out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.64
Potential payout: $5.64
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $5.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.09
Potential profit: $3.09
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.71
Potential profit: $2.71
User PnL: -$2.25

No position

Will Trump say “Barack Hussein Obama” by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.47
Potential profit: $2.47
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.21
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.77

No position

Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating be 42.0–43.9% on December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $2.38
User PnL: -$2

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump's approval rating be at least 42.5 on December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.28
Potential profit: $2.28
User PnL: -$2.01

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $2.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will STAČILO! get less than 5% of the vote in the Czech election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2
Potential profit: $2.2
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $2.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $2.19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will the NYC nurses strike end by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$2

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.15
Potential profit: $2.15
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07

No position

Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

No position

BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will Patriotic Union win the most seats in the next Liechtenstein parliamentary election?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

HEROIC position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs. HEROIC

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Will Trump meet Pope Leo XIV before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

No position

Will Putin meet with Trump before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Heroic position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Heroic

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Netanyahu attends Auschwitz commemoration in Poland?

Ends Jan 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. BetBoom Team

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

No position

TikTok on App Store again before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.07

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Team Falcons

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Nigma Galaxy

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Yes 91% 1.15 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.0 on February 20, 2026?

No 98.9% 1.05 shares
Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

No 95% 1.08 shares
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?

No 96% 1.33 shares
Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

No 96.8% 2.07 shares
Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?

No 96.4% 1.04 shares
Will Trump talk to Pope Leo XIV in February?

No 98.6% 2.03 shares
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Yes 96.3% 1.04 shares
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Yes 98.9% 2.02 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on February 20, 2026?

No 84% 1.19 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on February 20, 2026?

No 97.4% 1.03 shares
Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

No 98% 1.87 shares