Polymarket Trader

KennyM

0x958d9cd4068fa578781073c2d66099865e543501

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.19K
Realized PnL: $46.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Ends Jan 20, 2029

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $2.81K
Potential payout: $4.29K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $128.78

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $215.75
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $111.76

Yes position

Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $675.15
Potential payout: $931.24
Potential profit: $256.09
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $174.14

Yes position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $482.46
Potential payout: $704.33
Potential profit: $221.86
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $51.52

Yes position

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.7%
Current value: $448.67
Potential payout: $625.76
Potential profit: $177.09
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $17.67

Yes position

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $196.98
Potential payout: $606.08
Potential profit: $409.1
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$105.85

Yes position

Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $294.08
Potential payout: $554.88
Potential profit: $260.79
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$6.9

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $510.89
Potential profit: $510.89
User PnL: -$380.87

Yes position

Will Harry Kane score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $281.43
Potential payout: $489.45
Potential profit: $208.02
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$7.61

Yes position

Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $239.5
Potential payout: $443.51
Potential profit: $204.01
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will Harry Kane score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $85.06
Potential payout: $436.2
Potential profit: $351.14
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$23.93

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $357.76
Potential payout: $433.65
Potential profit: $75.89
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $26.76

Yes position

Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $132.71
Potential payout: $421.29
Potential profit: $288.59
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$18.29

Yes position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $254.09
Potential payout: $419.99
Potential profit: $165.9
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $3.09

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $336.35
Potential payout: $402.81
Potential profit: $66.46
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $85.36

Yes position

Will Harry Kane score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $160.39
Potential payout: $391.19
Potential profit: $230.8
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $9.4

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $47.18
Potential payout: $377.48
Potential profit: $330.29
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$73.82

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85.8%
Current value: $313.95
Potential payout: $366.13
Potential profit: $52.17
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $12.96

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $59.81
Potential payout: $329.54
Potential profit: $269.73
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: -$21.19

Yes position

Will Nicolas Pépé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $233.34
Potential payout: $328.65
Potential profit: $95.31
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $132.35

Yes position

Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $114.08
Potential payout: $321.35
Potential profit: $207.27
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$19.92

Yes position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $222.08
Potential payout: $319.59
Potential profit: $97.51
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Matheus Cunha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $179.88
Potential payout: $318.43
Potential profit: $138.55
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$11.12

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $131.42
Potential payout: $298.68
Potential profit: $167.26
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$2.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Kamala Harris blowout victory?

Ends Dec 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42K

Yes position

Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.15K

No position

Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.15K

Yes position

1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61K

Yes position

Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39K

Trump position

Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14K

Yes position

Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96K

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92K

No position

Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Inter end in a draw?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9K

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

Yes position

Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

Yes position

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Inter Milan position

Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $974.25

Arsenal position

Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madrid

Ends Mar 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $970.75

No position

Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $958.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 64% 187.5 shares
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 53% 37.74 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 18.7% 53.59 shares
Will Harry Kane score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 25% 32 shares
Will Harry Kane score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 61% 13.2 shares
Will Harry Kane score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 59% 50.85 shares
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

No 62.5% 222.12 shares
Will Harry Kane score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 25% 80 shares
Will Harry Kane score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 42.9% 69.94 shares
Will Pedro Neto score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 55.8% 255.29 shares
Will Harry Kane score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 59% 33.9 shares
Will Harry Kane score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 59% 16.95 shares