Polymarket Trader

bobasek

0x9592c92241350308eb16aee862b82a973fc2a450

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $305.36
Realized PnL: $984.19
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $103.78
Potential payout: $269.57
Potential profit: $165.78
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.29
Potential profit: $164.29
User PnL: -$27.93

Yes position

Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.46
Potential profit: $143.46
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $62.93
Potential payout: $124.62
Potential profit: $61.69
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$1.87

Over position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $48.95
Potential payout: $63.16
Potential profit: $14.21
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $29.79
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $11.88
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$27.96

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $15.97
Potential payout: $29.85
Potential profit: $13.88
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.03

Spain position

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $19.56
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $9.85
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.7%
Current value: $9.38
Potential payout: $28.74
Potential profit: $19.35
Multiplier: 3.06x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $14.81
Potential profit: $10.89
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $11.07
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $3.21
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.8

Miami Marlins position

Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.2

Detroit Tigers position

Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.18
Potential profit: $3.18
User PnL: -$1.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.92

Royal Challengers Bangalore position

Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalore

Ends Jun 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.25

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.49

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.42

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.85

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.89

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1 PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6 AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Over position

Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5 Corners

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8 PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4 PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.45

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.53

Yes position

Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Barcelona beat Real Madrid?

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.85

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.4

Yes position

Solana ETF approved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4 AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4 PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1 PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5 PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10 AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Dodgers position

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers

Ends May 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Yes 27% 14.81 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

Over 77% 68.42 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 50% 106.15 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Yes 70% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Up 42% 11.9 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

Over 76% 131.58 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Spain 68% 29.41 shares
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?

Yes 9% 22.22 shares
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5 Corners

Over 71% 5 shares
Mexico vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total Corners

Over 77% 10 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 38% 10 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 38% 10 shares