Polymarket Trader

ALRAG

@CryptoAG95___

0x95bae1e89f2daacb518d52c53a6501d2b8a4089f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.4K
Realized PnL: $1.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $2.66K
Potential payout: $13.45K
Potential profit: $10.79K
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $425.66

Yes position

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.64K
Potential profit: $4.64K
User PnL: -$57.45

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $352.29
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $2.19K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$37.71

Yes position

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $9.29
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $25.92
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $63.68
Potential payout: $943.4
Potential profit: $879.72
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$36.32

Yes position

Will João Pedro score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $722.32
Potential profit: $722.32
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $5.23
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $449.32
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$4.77

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $53.7
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $381.09
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $19.08
Potential payout: $377.86
Potential profit: $358.78
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$12.66

Yes position

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $283.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $256.41
Potential profit: $255.51
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$9.1

Yes position

Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $128.79
Potential payout: $245.32
Potential profit: $116.53
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$39.34

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.7
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$49.7

Yes position

Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $32.47
Potential payout: $151.02
Potential profit: $118.55
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$22.83

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $10.56
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $100.56
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$9.44

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.72
Potential profit: $87.72
User PnL: -$50

Terence Atmane position

Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Terence Atmane

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $10.68
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $34.77
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $6.06
Potential payout: $33.67
Potential profit: $27.61
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$13.94

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.47
Potential profit: $32.47
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $26.39
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$8.61

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $4.49
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $21.15
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$5.51

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.96

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.84

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.81

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.51

Warriors position

Spread: Warriors (-6.5)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.1

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.84

Yes position

Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $98.66

Yes position

Will Montpellier HSC win on 2026-03-13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.93

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.48

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73.66

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.44

Valentin Vacherot position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaur

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.94

Joao Fonseca position

Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.5

Yes position

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.83

Yes position

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.09

Celtics position

Knicks vs. Celtics

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.04

Yes position

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.61

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Clippers

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.97

Yes position

Will OGC Nice vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.97

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.89

Marta Kostyuk position

Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.72

Diane Parry position

BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Diane Parry

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.56

Humbert position

Adelaide International: Tallon Griekspoor vs Ugo Humbert

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.37

Under position

Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 77% 10.39 shares
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 84% 12.5 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 32.47 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

No 59% 19.99 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 26% 80 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 15.8% 71.42 shares
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe 46% 21.74 shares
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic

Marin Cilic 17.8% 62.5 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 57% 87.72 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 70% 14.29 shares
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic

Marin Cilic 16% 62.5 shares