No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.01K
- Potential profit
- $28.01K
- User PnL
- -$39.97
Polymarket Trader
itsKey
0x95c2457b36529ab8717e2db80b936b6533a8485b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.73
- Realized PnL
- $762.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $832.92
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.58
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $510.2
- Potential profit
- $510.2
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $490.42
- Potential profit
- $490.42
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $463.08
- Potential profit
- $463.08
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $423.22
- Potential profit
- $423.22
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $391.95
- Potential profit
- $391.95
- User PnL
- -$9.47
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $384.21
- Potential profit
- $384.02
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350.75
- Potential profit
- $350.75
- User PnL
- -$10.69
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $317.96
- Potential profit
- $317.96
- User PnL
- -$5.99
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.44
- Potential profit
- $298.44
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $4.12
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $290
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.34
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.64
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.97
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.85
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.33
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.55
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.03
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.31
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.19
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.89
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.81
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.88
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $17.8
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.67
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.98
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.62
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.25
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.07
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.73
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?Yes 23% 21.74 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?No 57% 8.77 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?Yes 26% 19.23 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?No 1.3% 384.21 shares
- Aleksandar Vuฤiฤ out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes 87% 5.75 shares
- Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsNo 70% 7.14 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?No 35.6% 14.03 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?No 32% 15.63 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 95% 8.33 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 58% 8.62 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Yes 0.6% 833.33 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 40% 11.11 shares