Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $212.22
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
0x95C4C6da188D386592331074c847F3709D59Db9F-1767137109411
0x95c4c6da188d386592331074c847f3709d59db9f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $65.09
- Realized PnL
- -$188.9
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $55.09
- Potential payout
- $64.81
- Potential profit
- $9.72
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $20.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.8
No position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.25
No position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.02
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.79
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$53.28
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$67.19
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$282.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 54% 64.81 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 9% 222.22 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 17.4% 555.55 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 27% 555.56 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 31% 394.33 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?Yes 30.6% 298.55 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 21.2% 285.54 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 28.8% 238.87 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?Yes 40.7% 298.55 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 36.4% 137.24 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?Yes 51.3% 195.09 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 63.2% 158.16 shares