Polymarket Trader

Goonss

0x95cab1072ae21ab66268ff8c2339d5b7118de4a0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $313.45
Realized PnL: $221.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.8%
Current value: $49.63
Potential payout: $142.45
Potential profit: $92.82
Multiplier: 2.87x
User PnL: -$0.37

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $99.44
Potential payout: $112.36
Potential profit: $12.92
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.56

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $104.84
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $18.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $21.4
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $21.05
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $2.21
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $19.89
Potential payout: $21.51
Potential profit: $1.61
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.88

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.67

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.95

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.8

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.2

No position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.78

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.4

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.95

No position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.37

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.96

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.01

No position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.98

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.84

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28

No position

US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.27

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

No position

Will Base launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08

80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 93% 21.51 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 50% 40 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 89% 112.36 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35.1% 142.45 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 86% 23.26 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic 94% 5.32 shares
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 41% 181.87 shares
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 99.3% 10.07 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

No 88.7% 11.27 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 92.5% 10.81 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 97.7% 50 shares
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

No 97.3% 51.38 shares