Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.62K
- Potential profit
- $15.62K
- User PnL
- -$399.97
Polymarket Trader
Till1986
0x95cdc6af4911dacfc51383e547a335dc845f8efe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.26K
- Realized PnL
- $19.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $570.34
- Potential payout
- $7.76K
- Potential profit
- $7.19K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$29.64
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $282.76
- Potential payout
- $4.6K
- Potential profit
- $4.31K
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$117.24
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $106.52
- Potential payout
- $4.35K
- Potential profit
- $4.24K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $6.53
Yes position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $274.11
- Potential payout
- $4.22K
- Potential profit
- $3.94K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$325.89
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $508.78
- Potential payout
- $4.05K
- Potential profit
- $3.55K
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $58.78
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $244.23
- Potential payout
- $3.85K
- Potential profit
- $3.6K
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $44.23
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $405.17
- Potential payout
- $3.45K
- Potential profit
- $3.04K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $105.18
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $396
- Potential payout
- $3.44K
- Potential profit
- $3.05K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $431.96
- Potential payout
- $3.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.73K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$68.04
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $579.69
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.55K
- Multiplier
- 5.39x
- User PnL
- $79.69
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- User PnL
- -$430
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $112.86
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.74K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $12.86
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $237.5
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$362.5
Yes position
Will Zinedine Zidane be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- User PnL
- -$49.92
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $86.31
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$113.69
Yes position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $28.12
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$71.88
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- User PnL
- -$100
Korea Republic position
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$100
Over position
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.44K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $910
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $862.37
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $807.14
Y
Yes position
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $617.81
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $339.13
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.36
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-09?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.85
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.76
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.58
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.48
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.87
Real Madrid position
Valencia vs. Real Madrid
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.31
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.27
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.61
Olympiacos B.C. position
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.94
Yes position
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.96
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.76
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.83
Yes position
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.42
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5Over 24.2% 1,237.22 shares
- Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)Korea Republic 8% 1,250 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes 25% 2,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 53% 188.68 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 24% 2,500 shares
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Switzerland 32% 125 shares
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Switzerland 58% 172.41 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Yes 49% 204.08 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?Yes 45% 222.22 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 31% 322.58 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 26.5% 377.78 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 93.7% 752.03 shares