No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53K
- Potential profit
- $53K
- User PnL
- -$53
Polymarket Trader
SoulCupe
0x95cfeadd37edc704f1fcf95e29c62ce3f7a2e7dd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $286.62
- Realized PnL
- $201.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.51K
- Potential profit
- $51.51K
- User PnL
- -$54.96
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.5K
- Potential profit
- $11.5K
- User PnL
- -$12.99
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.67K
- User PnL
- -$19.99
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $35.29
- Potential payout
- $235.29
- Potential profit
- $200
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.71
Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.7
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $69.49
- Potential payout
- $137.61
- Potential profit
- $68.12
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $121.56
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $6.73
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $112.32
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$3.27
No position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.06
- Potential profit
- $103.06
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $4.21
- Potential payout
- $92.59
- Potential profit
- $88.38
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Argentina vs. Austria: Neither team to score first?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.63
- Potential profit
- $74.63
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $48.94
- Potential payout
- $70.42
- Potential profit
- $21.49
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: June
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $63.75
- Potential profit
- $63.21
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$9.46
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $7.78
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $54.72
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- -$2.22
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $13.3
- Potential payout
- $61.73
- Potential profit
- $48.43
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $49.71
- Potential payout
- $58.14
- Potential profit
- $8.43
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.48
- Potential profit
- $54.48
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $46.38
- Potential payout
- $50.69
- Potential profit
- $4.31
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.07
- Potential profit
- $48.07
- User PnL
- -$46
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $45.46
- Potential profit
- $44.96
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $58.41
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.53
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.25
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.48
N
No position
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.71
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.61
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.58
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $6.32
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $3.79
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $2.79
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will Trump say "No No No" this week?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No 79% 12.66 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 86% 58.14 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes 48% 41.67 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 4% 125 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 52% 96.15 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 96.9% 26.78 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 98.1% 10.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 97.5% 13.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 71% 70.42 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 52% 19.23 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 96.8% 24.57 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 23?No 70% 14.29 shares