Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $251.67
- Potential profit
- $251.67
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Polymarket Trader
fespvel
0x95d435fb3a866b8f9cad5e246dc784f249df72a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.55
- Realized PnL
- $81.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $5.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $194.7
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $4.3
Yes position
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.1
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.7
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $165.92
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $165.92
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $165.92
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.07
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 4.0% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.9
- Potential profit
- $90.9
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $70.47
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $69.31
- Potential profit
- $69.28
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥4.1% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.23
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $23.26
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.57
- Potential profit
- $19.57
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $18.87
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.67
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Yes position
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
FUT Esports position
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
BetBoom Team position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97
No position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 13?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
paiN position
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
3DMAX position
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?Yes 4.2% 23.81 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Yes 41% 2.44 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 6% 16.67 shares
- Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No 85% 1.18 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 93.7% 1.07 shares
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsAurora Gaming 55% 1.82 shares
- Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No 55% 1.82 shares
- Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Yes 63% 1.59 shares
- Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?Yes 22% 4.55 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.2% 31.25 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?No 92% 1.09 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 25% 4 shares