No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $9.25K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $750
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $150
Polymarket Trader
GironaNite
0x95d5609631fd172f1447352a951be977384908bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.28K
- Realized PnL
- $6.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.19K
- Potential payout
- $4.21K
- Potential profit
- $10.51
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $3.99K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- $174
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $2.53K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $464.99
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $365
No position
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $467.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $32.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $499
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $224
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $176
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $12
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134
- Potential profit
- $134
- User PnL
- -$37.21
No position
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $128.42
- Potential payout
- $129
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- User PnL
- $1.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Yes position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $381.96
Yes position
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.6
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.78
Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $300.72
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.36
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.27
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $204.58
Yes position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.38
Yes position
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.09
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.6
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.28
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.31
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.76
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.05
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.35
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.08
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.42
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.8% 2,004.01 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.8% 1,002 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 65% 211.47 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.2% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.8% 199 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.5% 1,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 29.6% 600 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 27.8% 134 shares
- Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.5% 110.41 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 88.5% 100 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 89.7% 500 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 98% 991 shares