Polymarket Trader

twmn

0x95d945f8deaff4f2c34ab3dc007b86cd6fc8ab03

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $472.5
Realized PnL: $6.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $472.5
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.53K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $127.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98K

No position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.8

No position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.88

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.12

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $94.94

Yes position

FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.8

Yes position

Will the Progress Party (FrP) win 22% or more of vote in Norwegian election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.5

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.72

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.18

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $56.97

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Warriors

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.47

No position

Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.98

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.79

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.29

No position

Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.22

No position

Will Russia join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.63

Yes position

Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.6

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.71

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 65% 211 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

No 42% 505.2 shares
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Yes 4.4% 2,857.83 shares
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

No 55% 499.99 shares
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Yes 10% 533 shares
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Yes 16.7% 339.04 shares
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Yes 29.7% 150.49 shares
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Yes 7% 3,550 shares
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Yes 7% 3,607.26 shares
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Yes 14% 1,150 shares
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Yes 11% 1,270.13 shares
Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Yes 10% 2,000 shares