Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $288.46
- Potential profit
- $288.46
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
0x95D9dB22Ab22962A1f0eeC772Ac8D5c1B1D0eDD6-1773334345126
0x95d9db22ab22962a1f0eec772ac8d5c1b1d0edd6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.43
- Realized PnL
- -$12.38
- Win rate
- 39.1%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.8%
- Current value
- $42.53
- Potential payout
- $287.36
- Potential profit
- $244.83
- Multiplier
- 6.76x
- User PnL
- $17.53
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $11.9
- Potential payout
- $242.86
- Potential profit
- $230.96
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.98
- Potential profit
- $12.98
- User PnL
- -$4.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.94
- Potential profit
- $9.94
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.08
- Potential profit
- $8.08
- User PnL
- -$4.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.13
- Potential profit
- $4.13
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.82
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$2.83
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 7% 242.86 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 8.7% 287.36 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.2% 288.46 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 74% 94.36 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 77% 94.36 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 27% 70.76 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 2% 500 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No 70% 14.49 shares
- Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes 20% 38.4 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 69% 7.57 shares
- Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes 48% 12.5 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes 33% 13.51 shares