Yes position
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $126.1
- Potential payout
- $360.29
- Potential profit
- $234.19
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $6.1
Polymarket Trader
ToT
0x95db7957a848482747971086d252ae9021c6f2a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.16K
- Realized PnL
- $258.26
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Current value
- $66.17
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $267.17
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- -$33.83
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $255.12
- Potential profit
- $255.12
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $207.74
- Potential payout
- $214.05
- Potential profit
- $6.31
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7.74
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $103.97
- Potential payout
- $158.73
- Potential profit
- $54.76
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $3.97
Yes position
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $158.73
- Potential payout
- $158.73
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $58.73
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $117.76
- Potential payout
- $144.51
- Potential profit
- $26.75
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$2.24
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.37
- Potential profit
- $129.37
- User PnL
- -$45.28
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $110.2
- Potential payout
- $126.66
- Potential profit
- $16.47
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$6.8
Yes position
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.26
- Potential profit
- $121.26
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.71
- Potential profit
- $113.71
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $104.84
- Potential payout
- $109.37
- Potential profit
- $4.54
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.84
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $100.54
- Potential payout
- $108.7
- Potential profit
- $8.15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.16
- Potential profit
- $91.16
- User PnL
- -$34.64
No position
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $59.03
- Potential payout
- $72.88
- Potential profit
- $13.85
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $9.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.44
Yes position
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.29
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.67
No position
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.92
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.39
No position
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.28
No position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
No position
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04
No position
Epstein client list released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Yes 92.4% 126.66 shares
- Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 33.3% 360.29 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No 63% 158.73 shares
- Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes 63% 158.73 shares
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes 83% 144.51 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Yes 38% 91.16 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 92% 108.7 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 87.9% 113.71 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes 92% 217.39 shares
- Russian strike on Poland by June 30?No 95% 99.94 shares
- Will Artemis II launch by March 31?Yes 82.5% 121.26 shares
- 100kt meteor strike in 2026?No 91.4% 109.37 shares